The Artificial Intelligence Revolution: Part 1. PDF: We made a fancy PDF of this post for printing and offline viewing. Buy it here. (Or see a preview.)Note: The reason this post took three weeks to finish is that as I dug into research on Artificial Intelligence, I could not believe what I was reading. It hit me pretty quickly that what’s happening in the world of AI is not just an important topic, but by far THE most important topic for our future.
So I wanted to learn as much as I could about it, and once I did that, I wanted to make sure I wrote a post that really explained this whole situation and why it matters so much. Not shockingly, that became outrageously long, so I broke it into two parts. This is Part 1—Part 2 is here.
Good luck with Le Basket Case French economy, Monsieur Macron, writes LEO MCKINSTRY. By Leo Mckinstry For The Daily Mail. Published: 20:25 EDT, Updated.
We are on the edge of change comparable to the rise of human life on Earth. Vernor Vinge. What does it feel like to stand here? It seems like a pretty intense place to be standing—but then you have to remember something about what it’s like to stand on a time graph: you can’t see what’s to your right. So here’s how it actually feels to stand there: Which probably feels pretty normal…_______________The Far Future—Coming Soon. Imagine taking a time machine back to 1.
When you get there, you retrieve a dude, bring him to 2. It’s impossible for us to understand what it would be like for him to see shiny capsules racing by on a highway, talk to people who had been on the other side of the ocean earlier in the day, watch sports that were being played 1,0. This is all before you show him the internet or explain things like the International Space Station, the Large Hadron Collider, nuclear weapons, or general relativity. This experience for him wouldn’t be surprising or shocking or even mind- blowing—those words aren’t big enough.
He might actually die. But here’s the interesting thing—if he then went back to 1. And the 1. 50. 0 guy would be shocked by a lot of things—but he wouldn’t die. It would be far less of an insane experience for him, because while 1. The 1. 50. 0 guy would learn some mind- bending shit about space and physics, he’d be impressed with how committed Europe turned out to be with that new imperialism fad, and he’d have to do some major revisions of his world map conception. But watching everyday life go by in 1. No, in order for the 1.
BC, before the First Agricultural Revolution gave rise to the first cities and to the concept of civilization. If someone from a purely hunter- gatherer world—from a time when humans were, more or less, just another animal species—saw the vast human empires of 1.
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And then what if, after dying, he got jealous and wanted to do the same thing. If he went back 1. BC and got a guy and brought him to 1. BC, he’d show the guy everything and the guy would be like, “Okay what’s your point who cares.” For the 1.
BC guy to have the same fun, he’d have to go back over 1. In order for someone to be transported into the future and die from the level of shock they’d experience, they have to go enough years ahead that a “die level of progress,” or a Die Progress Unit (DPU) has been achieved. So a DPU took over 1.
Agricultural Revolution rate, it only took about 1. The post- Industrial Revolution world has moved so quickly that a 1. DPU to have happened. This pattern—human progress moving quicker and quicker as time goes on—is what futurist Ray Kurzweil calls human history’s Law of Accelerating Returns. This happens because more advanced societies have the ability to progress at a faster rate than less advanced societies—because they’re more advanced. This works on smaller scales too.
The movie Back to the Future came out in 1. In the movie, when Michael J. Fox went back to 1. TVs, the prices of soda, the lack of love for shrill electric guitar, and the variation in slang. It was a different world, yes—but if the movie were made today and the past took place in 1. The character would be in a time before personal computers, internet, or cell phones—today’s Marty Mc.
Fly, a teenager born in the late 9. Marty Mc. Fly was in 1. This is for the same reason we just discussed—the Law of Accelerating Returns. The average rate of advancement between 1.
So—advances are getting bigger and bigger and happening more and more quickly. This suggests some pretty intense things about our future, right?
Kurzweil suggests that the progress of the entire 2. He believes another 2. A couple decades later, he believes a 2. All in all, because of the Law of Accelerating Returns, Kurzweil believes that the 2. If Kurzweil and others who agree with him are correct, then we may be as blown away by 2. DPU might only take a couple decades—and the world in 2. This isn’t science fiction.
It’s what many scientists smarter and more knowledgeable than you or I firmly believe—and if you look at history, it’s what we should logically predict. So then why, when you hear me say something like “the world 3. Cool…. but nahhhhhhh”? Three reasons we’re skeptical of outlandish forecasts of the future: 1) When it comes to history, we think in straight lines. When we imagine the progress of the next 3. When we think about the extent to which the world will change in the 2. This was the same mistake our 1.
It’s most intuitive for us to think linearly, when we should be thinking exponentially. If someone is being more clever about it, they might predict the advances of the next 3. They’d be more accurate, but still way off. In order to think about the future correctly, you need to imagine things moving at a much faster rate than they’re moving now. The trajectory of very recent history often tells a distorted story. First, even a steep exponential curve seems linear when you only look at a tiny slice of it, the same way if you look at a little segment of a huge circle up close, it looks almost like a straight line. Second, exponential growth isn’t totally smooth and uniform.
Kurzweil explains that progress happens in “S- curves”: An S is created by the wave of progress when a new paradigm sweeps the world. The curve goes through three phases: 1. Slow growth (the early phase of exponential growth)2. Rapid growth (the late, explosive phase of exponential growth)3. A leveling off as the particular paradigm matures. If you look only at very recent history, the part of the S- curve you’re on at the moment can obscure your perception of how fast things are advancing. The chunk of time between 1.
Microsoft, Google, and Facebook into the public consciousness, the birth of social networking, and the introduction of cell phones and then smart phones. That was Phase 2: the growth spurt part of the S. But 2. 00. 8 to 2. Someone thinking about the future today might examine the last few years to gauge the current rate of advancement, but that’s missing the bigger picture.
In fact, a new, huge Phase 2 growth spurt might be brewing right now. Our own experience makes us stubborn old men about the future. We base our ideas about the world on our personal experience, and that experience has ingrained the rate of growth of the recent past in our heads as “the way things happen.” We’re also limited by our imagination, which takes our experience and uses it to conjure future predictions—but often, what we know simply doesn’t give us the tools to think accurately about the future.
When we hear a prediction about the future that contradicts our experience- based notion of how things work, our instinct is that the prediction must be naive. If I tell you, later in this post, that you may live to be 1. That’s stupid—if there’s one thing I know from history, it’s that everybody dies.” And yes, no one in the past has not died.
But no one flew airplanes before airplanes were invented either. So while nahhhhh might feel right as you read this post, it’s probably actually wrong. The fact is, if we’re being truly logical and expecting historical patterns to continue, we should conclude that much, much, much more should change in the coming decades than we intuitively expect.
What Was the Name of That Movie? Part 4. O. P. Continues from Part 3.. If you need help identifying a long forgotten movie, you've come to the right place. We'd always recommend a bit of self- sufficient keyword search work through Google and IMDB, but if you're truly stumped the Whirlpool movie buff collective may be able to help. Consider us your Obi- Wan (you know "Help me Obi- Wan Kenobi, you're my only hope"..?? Some rules and guidelines: (new Whirlpool members, pay close attention)All the usual Whirlpool Rules must be adhered to. This includes no foul language and no depiction of sexual acts or overt violence.
A Zero Tolerance stance will be taken on posts that break these rules within this thread. We have a lot of first time posters stumble on this thread, and that's great, but please read the rules first. It won't find that film if your post gets hidden. Basically, Whirlpool is a family- friendly site so don't offend, even in the context of describing a scene from a movie: it's not on and it won't be tolerated.
We can't edit your posts (we don't do that on Whirlpool), but we will hide them (they can be unhidden once the content that broke a rule is removed). Whilst some scenes which are shocking might be the easiest to remember and describe, that doesn't mean they'll be OK to describe. Use some common sense before posting. Some helpful internal links: How to post – see here (crash course)How to quote – see here. Formatting on Whirlpool – Whirlcode. Now the good stuff. There are some ridiculously clever and knowledgeable folks lurking in this thread – and I mean ridiculous in the same way baby turtles are ridiculously cute.
It's insane. However, to paraphrase Jerry, you have to help them help you. Try not to post a "wall of text". Remember paragraphs and a little bit of punctuation helps the ease of reading.
If you make it clear and easy to read, our members are more likely to try to help you. So provide keywords, themes, even trivial details may help. Obviously, if you can remember actors, events, genre etc include that. Watch Almighty Thor Torent Free. DON'T tell us how old you were when you saw it. DON'T tell us where you were when you saw it. DON'T tell us you were with your grandmother when you saw it.
DON'T tell us when you think you saw it. DO tell us (roughly) what year you think the film was released. DO tell us what era you think the story was set. DO tell us where you think the story was set. The long standing contributors to this thread like a challenge (within reason) and consider your questions to be a challenge, so the more information the merrier. If they help you, please thank them.
You can also reward them with a Smiley Vote if you wish. This thread attracts a lot of first- time posters. Please stick around and "Pay it Forward" and help others to ease their frustrations as well.
Whirlpool is a big place too – enjoy. Please help,I remember this movie I watched on Sky [analogue] in the 1. Might be a TV movie.
No big stars I don't think [could be wrong though]I remember a few things but not much plot, here's what I remember: The protagonist is a young girl in her late teens/early 2. I think. She's pretty bored because she lives with her mother. She hangs out by this lake. They live in this hotel with one or two staff, it's quite isolated. It's summer, it's hot, lot's of orange and yellow I think. I think the girl was blonde, wore quite loose fitting short dresses I seem to remember.
The mother arranges for some extra help so she hires this guy who is older. Things get a bit steamy between the daughter,mother and guy I think. A few tensions arise and I think the girl is tired of living with her mother. Then I seem to remember the girl moving out and going to the city or something in this apartment block. That's where my memory of the plot fades out. Please help, I'd like to hunt it down, but completely forgot the name of it. I'm looking for 2 movies: first– The scene I remember shows a Civil War officer, possibly in the fog, shooting or stabbing wounded soldiers after a battle, while humming, whistling, or singing – I think the song was rock of ages. Watch Bridegroom Online Free 2016.
It may have been an opening scene, setting background for the movie. Second – Looking for an American War movie – I saw it on TV in the early 7. Could be black& white – we may not of had a color TV at the time. Could either be WWII with Japanese as the bad guys or Korean War. Watch One Day HIGH Quality Definitons more. I only remember a few scenes. One – the squad was dug in on top of a hill or ridge and being overrun. They dug holes and covered them – hiding inside.
Two – they were going around a hill on a road and there was a camoflaged tank that they had to take out. Three – at the end the survivors were walking down the road towards their own lines or back to base. Re- posting.. Anyone? Hi again. There's this one movie I watched in the 8.
American is in a NY taxi, and the taxi driver mentions that he's an "American," but he looks and speaks English with a strong Iranian/Pakistanian/Indian(??) accent, and obvious the driver just "became" an US citizen. I watched this movie in Japan (in English with Japanese subtitles) with a Japanese friend. I was the only one in the movie theater that laughed at this scene (I was asked later on why I laughed at that particular scene after the movie was over). I was so sure it was Crocodile Dundee, but watching the movie years later, that particular scene is not in it. I KNOW I didn't make it up.. Thanks. USER DL not sure it has been a long time since I have seen them but it sounds like it could have been " wishmaster"Luckily one of my movies has been found.
I hope some one can give me a clue what the name is of this movie. I've copied it from the other thread: Another movie that i've been looking voor a very long time is a fairytale which i think is from the 7. The story is about a princess who only marries if her suitor knows the answer to her riddle. If he doesn't know he'll be turned to stone.
There was a scene which they showed the previous suitors of the princess as statues in the garden. I remember vaguely that there was one suitor, (a prince maybe) who knew the answer and the face of the princess turns pale or something before returning to nomal when he indeed gives the right answer. Like a fairytale it all ends well. It might not even be an original English movie maybe dubbed even because the sound wasn't much in sync with the picture. I've posted this on another site some time ago and someone pointed out that it has similarities with the opera Princess Turandot and/or 1.
Arabian nights. Though searching on IMDB has not brought me closer to an answer. Maybe the movie is loosely based on the abovementioned sources because as i can remember it, it was not a scene for scene adaptation from the book/opera to the screen. And i like to stress that it has no singing.
So it's no musical, no opera on stage that has been filmed for TV. And as far as i'm concerned is not part of a tvseries (for example Shelly Duvall's Fairytale theatre). I hope someone can help me with this. Hi everybody, I had a look at Google and cant find the movie that I trying to remember its name. I watch this movie when child, I am 3. I barely remenber the full history but what I can remember is a chase of 2 or 3 children (siblings?
They travel arround the country and every time the murder is closed and trying to get the children. I do not remember the exact motivation of the chase but I think it is because the children have testemoned a crime.
Thanks for any help. Hi guys another one.. It is a old comedy where a strange (looking like Indian) was wrongly inveted to a posh party in a huge mansion (in USA? There, he start doing several gaffes and the last one was start the automation system of the house opening a pool and people falled into the water.
After that a big pool party take place instead the posh one. Thanks for any help. It is a old comedy where a strange (looking like Indian) was wrongly inveted to a posh party in a huge mansion (in USA?